Friday, May 2, 2014

Cincinnati Street Car Really?

I know this has been discussed ad naseum in the area, but so what. I have 10 cents to throw in too...
MLA'd and all...


Sparky the Dog                                         

Professor MORONSKI

21 April 2014

Research Paper

A Street Car in Cincinnati, Would You Want to Ride?

There has been an ongoing struggle within the Cincinnati Political Sphere between people who want, and those who do not. I am speaking of the proposed Street Car in Cincinnati Ohio. The idea has been floating around since the mid 1990’s, and has yet to come to fruition after many years spent researching the project and its proposed lines, costs, “best routes” and whether this project should take precedence over a high speed line serving the big three cities in Ohio of Cincinnati, Columbus and Cleveland. The Street Car can be a bad idea for Cincinnati if we take into consideration historical transit lines of Cincinnati, gentrification, costs of construction in our already taxed market, past area construction boondoggles, the instability of the Cincinnati business district, the stability of the line, ridership populace in the area and whether crime can be kept off the line.

Cincinnati Street Cars have been in Cincinnati Ohio since the 1850’s when the first lines of Horse drawn rail carts were created in the downtown area to first move supplies back and forth between businesses (O’Neill). Within two years of the lines opening to businesses, citizen passengers started riding the cars for small fees. This was mostly due to groups of workers moving production materials along city streets at first who basically hitched a ride to the next job (O’Neill). Shortly after, rail cars specifically for passengers opened up for use downtown. They would take people across what is now 4th street and up Vine toward the Clifton area so people didn’t have to walk the hill or get on horseback to go. By 1872, 4 incline cars were built in Cincinnati to service various suburban areas at the time. The concrete bases can still be seen around town in certain areas (“Cincinnati Trolley Coaches”). By 1883, Horse drawn carts downtown for passenger service were on the way out, and a trolley system was in place. The first Electric Trolley Cars went into service in 1889 (“Cincinnati Trolley Coaches”). Within a few years, all remaining trolley, cable and horse carts were replaced by overhead electric transit lines. These Street Cars at their peak in the 1940’s eventually had over 200 miles of tracks in Downtown Cincinnati (Cincinnati 010). No single Street, Electric or Trolley car line has ever made it in Cincinnati longer than 50 years. By the 1970’s, the Union Terminal Car Lines station was being demolished ("What Is The Cincinnati Streetcar?"). The Metro Bus line has the longest mass transit ridership in the city since 1953, and is still in existence today.

Proponents of the modern Street Car project in Cincinnati believe there will be a sustainable ridership, and a base of users who can pay for upkeep of the line by way of riding fees. The data doesn’t support this stance. Cincinnati was a city starting in the late 18th Century when in 1788 when Mathias Denman, Colonel Robert Patterson and Israel Ludlow named the area Losantiville from 3 different languages (“Cincinnati Trolley Coaches”). City population grew from then until the middle 20th Century when urban Cincinnati dwellers began to abandon the inner city in lieu of surrounding suburbs and job centers (Cole. p. 977). During the time between and through to the 1950’s the city population shifted many times from immigrants, to “country transplants”, to eventually African Americans from the South looking to gain an industrial job and make a home for their families. Cincinnati’s population peaked in the 1950’s at 503,998 according to Census data (atlasproject. p 36). Since the 1950’s we have lost 209,000 urban residents, but the surrounding Greater Cincinnati Metro area has doubled in size (Cole. p. 977). As business came to be in places such as Blue Ash, Sharonville, Norwood, Carthage, St. Bernard and Evendale among others the population followed suit and expanded into these areas more and more. In the 1970’s, Cincinnati saw the largest decline of population in a single decade, followed closely by the 2000 census data (“Cincinnati Trolley Coaches”). Just in the last ten years Cincinnati lost an additional 10% of its urban population (“Cincinnati Trolley Coaches”). Sprawl, economic factors such as job market and loss of the manufacturing base in the area have led many people to leave the area in total. It would appear the ridership for the Street Car line abandoned the city long ago and are not looking to come back anytime soon. This creates a void for proponents to fill in some way, and the claims seem to be businesses will spring up and people will move back to town for a Street Car line. There has not yet been any evidence produced to show any intent amongst those in the outlying areas to start moving back or looking for work in proposed line’s area (Hahn).

However, the line is to be built through one of Cincinnati’s most historically unfriendly districts to businesses and citizens alike, the Over the Rhine district of the West End and part of Clifton. Recent Gentrification of the area by making such bold moves as doing away with the Laurel Homes Projects that were a mainstay in Cincinnati for over 30 years has not helped the area (Cole. p. 977). It created housing for more upwardly mobile and affluent younger people to live who may work downtown, but with the lacking base of sustainable companies who pay middle class wages it seems to have been a mistake when talking a base from which to draw a significant ridership for a new Street Car line. Crime since the removal of that public housing block has risen in outlying areas by roughly the same number as it has dropped downtown (Cole. p. 977). Areas like Mt. Washington, Norwood, and Oakley have seen their crime rates rise as the displaced residents of the West End neighborhood move to outlying areas.

The gentrification has beautified part of Cincinnati, but it has not given rise to the need for additional transit made to serve only that specific population (Newbauer). People who before moved to outlying areas to get a little less crime have found themselves stuck in that same mix and moving further East or West of the city to get away from the displaced population from the Laurel Holmes district that was. Now there is a smaller rider base of city citizenry than in any time since Cincinnati had Electric Rail in the early 1900’s. The proposed line rides through a significant area that has been “reinvented” by city planners, but the area mostly caters to small breweries, eateries, and legal offices. It also serves several “mom and pop” type shops for the locals who are not fortunate enough to have a middle class income and yet may need a cigarette, beer or check cashed (Newbauer). Again, not a sustainable rider base from which to draw taxable or fee driven Street Cars. I would invite anyone to take a drive along the planned route and its expansion, and report what you see. Do you as a citizen see the population that would be served by having a brand new Street Car line in the city? It is a historic route to say the least, but the cars are not being sold to the public as a “history ride through town”, but as viable mass transit that will put Cincinnati back on par with other upwardly mobile or cutting edge towns (Klepal). The two narratives are as follows.  Supporters’ narrative: “The streetcar alignment will foster economic development, increase commercial and retail activities, and lead to redevelopment of the downtown housing stock. It will have an impact on the city redevelopment as a whole, but in particular on the neighborhoods along the streetcar’s proposed alignment.” (Makadi, Elad p. 136-146)

 Opponents’ narrative: “The streetcar will be underutilized and inefficient. As a result, it might attract a few businesses and residents from other neighborhoods into the route’s surrounding streets, but will not generate any significant change in the city’s land use pattern or commercial and residential development.” (Makadi, Elad p. 136-146)

For study purposes, three scenarios have been painted for the outcome. One with street Cars, one with limited Street Cars and one with no Street Cars. Surveys of both retailers and businesses see no significant planning on their part to open business on the line, and or within close proximity to the line, “Under Scenario 1 (corresponding to the supporters’ narrative), three street-network-based strips (service areas) were created around the proposed streetcar stops. As can be seen in Fig. 3, the corresponding walking distances are 370 m, 730 m, and 1100 m (respectively 5, 10, and 15 min). Each strip was assigned a relative suitability score where the 370 m strip was considered the most suitable for development. In accordance with the streetcar supporters’ narrative, we assume that the streetcar has no effect on land use change beyond 1100 m from the route (Makadi, Elad p. 136-146).

Under Scenario 2 (corresponding to the opponents’ narrative), the maximum impact takes place within a half of city block (60 m) from the proposed stops and extends up to 1.5 city blocks (180 m) (Makadi, Elad, et al. p. 136-146).  In Scenario 3 this factor does not play any role since it is a no-streetcar scenario. Population density factor. Population density is known to affect land use patterns. For instance, commercial development occurs in proximity to densely populated areas while industrial zones are steered away from residential development (Barredo, et al). For modeling purposes, we assume that new residential and commercial development occurs in areas with the highest population density, while industrial land use is likely to be located in areas of lowest population density. The assignment of suitability scores followed this assumption; employment density factor. High employment density zones attract commercial and residential developments. The average employment density in the study area is 96 employees per hectare. The areas carrying values higher than the average were identified as high employment density zones. They were assigned higher suitability scores for commercial and residential land use. For areas outside these zones, a monotonically decreasing function was applied reflecting distance decay, so that the closer a cell to the high employment density zone the higher its suitability level for transitioning to commercial land use (Makadi, Elad et. al p. 136-146). However, no study data has been generated on “intent” of business to relocate to an already congested area of town in lieu of tax breaks and almost free land to develop on the outskirts of the city. Basically, along the proposed line there is no “land” to develop that doesn’t have existing housing or businesses on it already and to develop that land as the prime real-estate it is would cost tax payers additionally. As part of my investigation I took a ride in my car twice over the proposed route looking for available land for development. As a person who worked on the coordination and completion of both the Great American Ballpark and the Paul Brown Stadium, I understand land placement and build strategy. I see no place to develop businesses that would increase sustainable ridership for the cars.

            A large concern among the electorate would be Cincinnati’s prior boondoggles in the County and City construction arena and how to keep cost overruns, nepotism and additional expenditures and taxes under wraps (NY times).  Ken Belson of the New York Times focuses on the example of Cincinnati, where voters approved a sales tax increase to fund building a stadium for the Bengals and the Reds. With sales tax revenue plummeting, the city is left holding the bag for the sports centers. Belson writes,

"The teams have not volunteered to rewrite their leases. So in the coming weeks, the county plans to cut basic services, lower its legal bills and drain a bond reserve fund with no plan for paying it back. 'Anyone looking at this objectively knows it's a train wreck,' said Dusty Rhodes, the county auditor. 'I told them they were making a big mistake, but they didn't want to hear me.'”

Cincinnati has historically had cost overruns at construction, I was part of the design and building of both stadiums downtown, and as a worker in the industry, it made me sad to see what we as a company were charging the County for things that should have been discussed and not charged. The sales tax that was supposed to expire once the Stadiums were built has yet to expire, and the whole idea was sold to the population as a way to increase the Banks business district, and redevelop the downtown area, and these projects still lag sadly behind dates thought to be completed (NY Times). However, the County Commissioner of the time, Bob Bedinghaus is now a highly paid employee of the Cincinnati Bengals organization and no one can figure out what he does for them. Most believe his job is due to sweetheart deals for the stadiums he procured for the Bengals. (Newbauer). Cincinnati as a whole has tried multiple times in its recent history to “throw money at the problem” of keeping businesses downtown by building new retail space, renovating retail spaces once used by others, Shillito’s to Macy’s to whatever else we can get in there. We have renovated Fountain Square, and most of the West End district (Newbauer). As an almost lifelong resident of the city I can tell you that people who do not live in the city have no desire to go to the city. They have all the shopping and things they need in their own areas and perceived crime and trouble in the city keeps most people from venturing down. See Eastgate as a prime example. Between Eastgate and Anderson Township mall a person can get just about anything of need. I am fairly sure it is obvious our city has been set up in this manner, allowing suburban residents to detach from the downtown experience.

            In summation, Cincinnati has tried Street Cars in many forms over the course of the city’s existence (“Cincinnati Trolley Coaches”). From horse drawn rail lines, inclines built into the seven hills, trolley cars to serve the inner city population all the way to rail electrics through the 1950’s. (Cincinnati 010) None have been sustainable for more than a 50-year run (Hahn). The area the newest proposal implies would be the best route can be seen by mapping images done on my peer reviewed papers provided that none of the proposed lines will serve existing points of business, or any place where large scale business can be built or installed in the community (Makadi, Elad et. al p. 136-146). This has made the voting base leery of new construction that will only help one small part of the city when the city can’t keep police, fire and or EMS services open. We have issues with community centers and pools, but can find the money to build a Street Car to serve a single and small section of inner city upwardly mobile. This doesn’t fly in Cincinnati when the city population is in decline, and it has become increasingly hard to get people from the surrounding areas to come downtown to enjoy a day in the city, much less to ride a Street Car to nowhere.  


Works Cited

O’Neill, Tom. “Exhibit Commemorates the Streetcar Era; Fifty Years Later the Memories Live On.” Enquirer.com.  Cincinnati Enquirer [Cincinnati, OH] 8 August 2001. Web. 23 March 2014.

atlasproject. Historical Atlas of Cincinnati “The Relationship Between Transportation and Urban Growth in Cincinnati.” Photographs. oldtimecincy.com pg. 36. 16 July 2010. Web. 23 March 2014.

Cincinnati 010. Map. Cincinnati, Ohio: C.O. Titus, 1869. Item #: US20629 Historic MapWorks Residential Genealogy. historicmapworks.com. n.d. Web. 23 March 2014. Peer Reviewed.

City of Cincinnati. "What Is The Cincinnati Streetcar?" Cincinnati-oh.gov/streetcar/. n.p. n.d. Web. 30 Mar. 2014.

The Ohio Museum of Transportation Ohio’s Transit History. “Cincinnati Trolley Coaches”. omot.org/history/cintc. n.p. n.d. Web. 30 Mar. 2014.

Cole, David. “Cincinnati Transit: A Brief History”. metro-cincinnati.org. pg. 977. n.d. Web. 30 March 2014

Newbauer, Frank. “Stadium ‘fiasco’ not fault of Dems; blame all-GOP ex-county commissioners”. Enquirer.com.  Cincinnati Enquirer [Cincinnati, OH]. Letters Editor. 5 December 2011. Web. 30 March 2014.

Klepal, Dan. “Stadium mistakes not repeated, Reds more cooperative; county learned from Bengals' debacle” Enquirer.com.  Cincinnati Enquirer [Cincinnati, OH] 18 March 2013. Web. 30 March 2014.

Belson, Ken. “Stadium Boom Deepens Municipal Woes”. nytimes.com. The New York Times. [New York, NY] 24 Dec 2009. Web. 30 March 2014.

Makadi, Elad, Diana Mitsova, Xinghau Wang. “Projecting the impacts of a proposed streetcar system on the urban core land redevelopment: The case of Cincinnati, Ohio”. Elsivier. Cities. Volume 35. P. 136-146. 11 July 2013.  Web. 4 April 2014. Peer Reviewed.

Hahn, Barbara. "Union Terminal: Business Clubs, Railroads and City Planning in Cincinnati." The Journal of Urban History 68.3 (2004) 30: 707. Sage Publications. 1 Jul 2004. Web. 4 April 2014. Peer Reviewed.

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